"Expected Surprises"
creating the thinking for organisations to anticipate and respond

Shoreditch Trust, London - 27th and 28th September 2010

A symposium organised jointly by the School of Management, University of St Andrews and
SAMI Consulting

We invite you to join other thought-leaders and experts in analysing major global events that have taken governments and companies by surprise, as a probe to understanding the systematic reasons behind these.
 

Weak signals exist and are there for all to see, but few chose to see them and take action early, hence the growing interest in “Black Swans”.

This workshop explores why we don’t see such signals and how we might observe them and their patterning better so that impending crises do not sneak up on us. Our Keynote Speakers will give insights into recent events in the areas of:

  • systemic risk

  • financial systems, and

  • humanitarian disasters

The two-day programme will combine these keynote speakers' presentations with workshops for participants and speakers to work together, sharing experiences and creating new learnings.

   
    Keynote speakers of international renown with deep expertise in foresight will set the scene.
        Professor Richard David Hames, Director of the Asia Foresight Institute and author of “The Five Literacies of Global Leadership”
       Dr Randolph Kent, Director of the Humanitarian Futures Programme
        Professor Ross Anderson, Professor of Security Engineering at the Computer Laboratory, University of Cambridge
    The proceedings will be co-chaired by:
        Professor Peter McKiernan, Professor of Management, University of St Andrews – strategic foresight
        Gill Ringland, CEO and Fellow, SAMI Consulting – scenario thinking. Co-author of “Beyond Crisis”
 
Participants will include Decision Makers, Strategists, Social Scientists, Futurists from Public and Private Sectors, NGO’s and Academia.

Together we will:

  • Collectively identify lessons learned and implications for organisations

  • Develop connections with a group of informed practitioners

  • Gain deeper insight and awareness of how our own organisations can be better able to anticipate future events

  • Receive a summary of the event with conclusions and recommendations and a complementary copy of the “Beyond Crisis” book

The symposium will be facilitated by Patricia Lustig, Executive Fellow, Henley Business School and co-author of “Beyond Crisis” – organisational development and Dr Wendy Schultz, Infinite Futures – futures and weak signals.

Registration

To reserve your place please register on-line now…

Select the appropriate fee from the dropdown menu and click on the Register button

NGO, Public Sector, Not-for-Profit: £650 plus VAT
Corporates: £950 plus VAT

(Includes refreshments)

To allow for a full peer dialogue, places will be restricted to the first 50 applicants.

For further details contact:

Gwyn Jones,
asp.learningevents@gmail.com, +44 0779 563 2607

 
 
Keynote Speakers

Professor Richard David Hames
Recently described as “one of the century’s most foresightful corporate philosophers” Richard Hames inspires meaningful change, globally and across all levels of society by engaging conscious leaders in purposeful transitions.

Richard is currently Distinguished Professor and Founding Director of the Asian Foresight Institute at Dhurakij Pundit University in Bangkok. He is also President of The Hames Group - a distributed think-tank and design laboratory comprising thought leaders from all fields of human endeavour, strategist to the State of the World Forum and a member of the International Advisory Board of the Climate Prosperity Alliance.

As a foresight practitioner Richard has examined topics ranging from the future of conflict to nanotechnology in everyday life, financial services, terrorism, taxation, health care, social networks, political systems, energy, natural resource management, environmental and business sustainability and learning. Richard is an authority on the design of strategically relevant yet viable “whole system” solutions for business and government in the knowledge society.


 
Dr. Randolph Kent, Director of the Humanitarian Futures Programme
Prior to his current role, Randolph was the United Nations Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator for Somalia after similar roles in Kosovo, UN Humanitarian Coordinator in Rwanda, Chief of the IASC’s Inter-Agency Support Unit and of the UN Emergency Unit in Sudan and o f Emergency Prevention and Preparedness in Ethiopia.

Randolph Kent’s recent publications have been ‘The Dimensions of Crisis Impacts: Humanitarian Needs by 2015’ for the UK Department for International Development, and ‘Responding to Catastrophes: US innovation in a vulnerable world’, written jointly with the Washington DC-based Center for Strategic and International Studies.


 
Professor Ross Anderson, Professor of Security Enginering at the Computer Laboratory, University of Cambridge.
Ross is Professor of Security Enginering at the Computer Laboratory, and a Fellow of the Royal Society, the Royal Academy of Enginering, the Institution of Engineering and Technology, the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications and the Institute of Physics.

Ross is a researcher, writer and industry consultant in security engineering. He is Professor in Security Engineering at the University of Cambridge Computer Laboratory, where he is engaged in the Security Group.

In 1988, he founded the Foundation for Information Policy Research, a think tank and lobbying group on information technology policy. Ross is also a founder of the UK-Crypto mailing list and the economics of security research domain. He is author of Security Engineering and was the founder and editor of Computer and Communications Security Reviews.


 
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