Regular readers of our blogs will know that single point forecasts are not scenarios – and so pretty much useless for planning for the future. That said, in this blog,…

Regular readers of our blogs will know that single point forecasts are not scenarios – and so pretty much useless for planning for the future. That said, in this blog,…
Viral epidemics have been part of human civilisation for centuries. Black Death in the fourteenth and Plague in the seventeenth, are only the most famous but there were many more…
Selecting the right risk mitigation strategy is always a matter of choice, the future is uncertain and the default human response tends to be risk aversion. Some uncertainties can be…
As I get closer to retirement, I reflect on the time spent over the past 45 years in offices. This is especially relevant as the pandemic has led us to…
Risk as a management discipline gets a poor press. Like a hapless government agency it often appears that it has been set up to fail, due to unrealistic expectations of…
The current pandemic has raised the question about existential risk and our response to it. What exactly is an existential threat anyway? The literal answer is anything that impacts our…