Many organisations still don’t employ scenario planning to explore alternative futures, articulate risks and inform strategy. The following simple and topical example was recently created for a business school programme…
Author: Garry Honey
Vaccine nationalism?
Nine months ago I wrote an article for the Journal of Future Studies looking at four alternative post pandemic scenarios. This was also later carried on the SAMI website. Although…
Predictions for 2021?
Regular readers of our blogs will know that single point forecasts are not scenarios – and so pretty much useless for planning for the future. That said, in this blog,…
Compromise risk: ‘cake-and- eat-it’ syndrome
Viral epidemics have been part of human civilisation for centuries. Black Death in the fourteenth and Plague in the seventeenth, are only the most famous but there were many more…
Political risk & the right strategy
Selecting the right risk mitigation strategy is always a matter of choice, the future is uncertain and the default human response tends to be risk aversion. Some uncertainties can be…
What becomes of the CBD?
As I get closer to retirement, I reflect on the time spent over the past 45 years in offices. This is especially relevant as the pandemic has led us to…