The UN University Institute for Environment and Human Security has come up with a new characterisation of future uncertainties – “risk tipping points” (RTP). An RTP is defined as “the moment…
Author: Huw Williams
World Energy Outlook scenarios
The International Energy Agency recently published is World Energy Outlook 2023 which assesses the evolving nature of energy security and examines what needs to happen at the COP28 climate conference…
Adaptive Planning in National Infrastructure
SAMI have long advocated the development of Adaptive Plans as a means of developing “robust decisions in uncertain times”. The concept is explained in a blogpost from January 2023 –…
Limits to modelling
September 2023 was the hottest September on record, following the hottest August and the hottest July. It wasn’t just a bit hotter – it was fully 0.5˚˚ C hotter, a…
Megatrends and supply chains
We have seen how the Russian invasion of Ukraine caused a spike in oil prices and a rapid re-alignment of European energy supply chains. In what other ways will geo-political…
New National Risk Register announced.
The Government has formally announced and published an updated version of the National Risk Register. It is the external version of the National Security Risk Assessment, and provides the government’s…