We examined the first three goals for COP26 in previous blogposts. We concluded that Goal 1 (the climate goal proper) was too little, delivered too slowly. Goal 2, we said,…
Category: Scenarios
Alternative Future Views
This summer saw the publication of an interesting range of futures work, with different approaches and perspectives. OECD: Global Scenarios 2035: exploring implications for the future of global collaboration and…
How scenario planning informs strategy
Many organisations still don’t employ scenario planning to explore alternative futures, articulate risks and inform strategy. The following simple and topical example was recently created for a business school programme…
Beyond the Hoover Institute Report on China-US Relations: What are the headwinds facing China?
A new report published by the Hoover Institute sheds a bright light on the principles that guide the Chinese Communist Party – effectively the Chinese Government – in the strategic…
Thinking the unthinkable
A recent EC Joint Research Council paper, “Thinking the unthinkable”, explored the question of whether technological accidents caused by natural hazards (Natech accidents) are real “Black Swans”. A “Black Swan”…
Global Trends 2040 – Five scenarios
This is the last post in our series on the US National Intelligence Center Global Trends report – “A more contested world”. NIC produced five scenarios for 2040, as a…