The third of our revised set of drivers of change is an combination of three drivers from our previous set – poly-nodal world, economic growth and social cohesion (including inequality)…
Category: Scenarios
Has the pandemic really affected the drivers of change?
We and many others have reflected on possible scenarios for the post-pandemic future, often using a scenario cross methodology. We thought it would also be valuable to look at how…
Looking to the future from an uncertain present
I was in a meeting a little while ago when someone asked “can we really make scenarios of the future when the present is so uncertain?” It’s a question I’ve…
Pandemic-3.0 – from crisis to transformation – part II
The first part of this blog explored the context – ‘what if’ the pandemic is contained, OR it continues (with mutations, policy failures, medical gaps etc)? And then, ‘what if’…
When wildcards hit, your contingency planning is tested. Did you have enough of the key equipment or resourcesstockpiled, are you able to switch production fast enough? The coronavirus outbreak exposed issues in government planning around the availability of critical items – personal protection equipment, ventilators, testing facilities having the required chemicals. But wildcards – by …
When wildcards hit, your contingency planning is tested. Did you have enough of the key equipment or resourcesstockpiled, are you able to switch production fast enough? The coronavirus outbreak exposed…
Pandemic-3.0 – from crisis to transformation
At terrifying speed the Covid-19 global pandemic has brought a multitude of deaths, the lock-down of half the world’s population, and the decimation of its economy. The material facts of…