The UN University Institute for Environment and Human Security has come up with a new characterisation of future uncertainties – “risk tipping points” (RTP). An RTP is defined as “the moment…
Our Blogs
World Energy Outlook scenarios
The International Energy Agency recently published is World Energy Outlook 2023 which assesses the evolving nature of energy security and examines what needs to happen at the COP28 climate conference…
Going public: Cyberevolution, SAFIRE, and scenarios
Regular readers of this blog will remember our pride at the publication of the European Commission’s SAFIRE project. SAMI’s participation included the development of 44 discrete scenarios – four global…
Flying taxis crash into reality
In “The Fifth Element”, Korben Dallas is visited by a flying street food stall at his apartment window. Only one of any number of flying cars – including the one…
Adaptive Planning in National Infrastructure
SAMI have long advocated the development of Adaptive Plans as a means of developing “robust decisions in uncertain times”. The concept is explained in a blogpost from January 2023 –…
Limits to modelling
September 2023 was the hottest September on record, following the hottest August and the hottest July. It wasn’t just a bit hotter – it was fully 0.5˚˚ C hotter, a…