The uncertainty generated by the pandemic has led McKinsey to follow BCG’s attempt, that we commented on previously, and focus on resilience. Their recent report, “Succeeding in uncertain times”, identifies…
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Future Proofing for resilience – and for opportunity
Humanity has always been intrigued by events which would destroy it. The Gilgamesh epic leads to the Babylonian flood myth leads to the Biblical story of the Flood which (almost)…
Thinking the unthinkable
A recent EC Joint Research Council paper, “Thinking the unthinkable”, explored the question of whether technological accidents caused by natural hazards (Natech accidents) are real “Black Swans”. A “Black Swan”…
Global Trends 2040 – Five scenarios
This is the last post in our series on the US National Intelligence Center Global Trends report – “A more contested world”. NIC produced five scenarios for 2040, as a…
The Role of Ethics in Strategy
I have been invited to lead the Association of Strategic Planning’s Virtual conference (ASP2-21) with a keynote address on the role of ethics in strategy. The keynote starts by asking…
Global Trends 2040 – Emerging dynamics
This latest post in our series on the US National Intelligence Center Global Trends report – “A more contested world” covers the section they call “Emerging Dynamics”. Having looked at…