September 2023 was the hottest September on record, following the hottest August and the hottest July. It wasn’t just a bit hotter – it was fully 0.5˚˚ C hotter, a…
Our Blogs
Megatrends and supply chains
We have seen how the Russian invasion of Ukraine caused a spike in oil prices and a rapid re-alignment of European energy supply chains. In what other ways will geo-political…
China – A Superpower’s Growing Pains
In January 2022, we published a blog looking at possible futures for China. This was part of a series of blogs based on the scenarios developed as part of the…
Twisting the Diplomatic Kaleidoscope: India, China and polynodal policy
In February we used the analogy of a kaleidoscope to describe the polynodal world, which replaced the “New World Order” of 1991, with a world of rising (and declining) powers,…
New National Risk Register announced.
The Government has formally announced and published an updated version of the National Risk Register. It is the external version of the National Security Risk Assessment, and provides the government’s…
Four Scenarios for EU Net-Zero
The EU Policy Lab has published a report “Towards a fair and sustainable Europe 2050: Social and economic choices in sustainability transitions” in which it explores possible and necessary changes…