I was in a meeting a little while ago when someone asked “can we really make scenarios of the future when the present is so uncertain?” It’s a question I’ve…
Tag: risk
Existential risk – should we take notice?
The current pandemic has raised the question about existential risk and our response to it. What exactly is an existential threat anyway? The literal answer is anything that impacts our…
When wildcards hit, your contingency planning is tested. Did you have enough of the key equipment or resourcesstockpiled, are you able to switch production fast enough? The coronavirus outbreak exposed issues in government planning around the availability of critical items – personal protection equipment, ventilators, testing facilities having the required chemicals. But wildcards – by …
When wildcards hit, your contingency planning is tested. Did you have enough of the key equipment or resourcesstockpiled, are you able to switch production fast enough? The coronavirus outbreak exposed…
What do you do when a “wildcard” hits? Thoughts from a futurist
We’ve all read loads of prognostications about how the coronavirus outbreak will change the world – or not. But it got us thinking more generally about “wildcards” and what to…
Covid-19: could we see it coming?
I have been searching for predictions of coronavirus to see if this was foreseen by anyone. I haven’t come up with anything yet but a few people have pointed to…
Do we really understand risk?
A recent report from the National Audit Office revealed the government failed to understand the risk to the Treasury for the HS2 rail project from the outset in 2010. Shortly…