This summer saw the publication of an interesting range of futures work, with different approaches and perspectives. OECD: Global Scenarios 2035: exploring implications for the future of global collaboration and…
Tag: scenarios
How scenario planning informs strategy
Many organisations still don’t employ scenario planning to explore alternative futures, articulate risks and inform strategy. The following simple and topical example was recently created for a business school programme…
Thinking the unthinkable
A recent EC Joint Research Council paper, “Thinking the unthinkable”, explored the question of whether technological accidents caused by natural hazards (Natech accidents) are real “Black Swans”. A “Black Swan”…
Global Trends 2040 – Five scenarios
This is the last post in our series on the US National Intelligence Center Global Trends report – “A more contested world”. NIC produced five scenarios for 2040, as a…
GLOBAL TRENDS 2040 – “A more contested world”
Every four years, the US National Intelligence Center produces its Global Trends report. The 7th edition, published this year, reflects on the way global trends and dynamics are creating “a…
Vaccine nationalism?
Nine months ago I wrote an article for the Journal of Future Studies looking at four alternative post pandemic scenarios. This was also later carried on the SAMI website. Although…