The 1970’s classic volume Limits to Growth has influenced futurists and policy makers for a generation. Recently the assumptions in the computer model behind the conclusions, and the conclusions themselves,…
Tag: trends
4th Industrial Revolution - trends
Last month we were pleased to have the opportunity to talk at a symposium on Technology Roadmaps to Promote Industry 4.0 in Developing APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) Economies. Our session…
Thinking the unthinkable
A recent EC Joint Research Council paper, “Thinking the unthinkable”, explored the question of whether technological accidents caused by natural hazards (Natech accidents) are real “Black Swans”. A “Black Swan”…
When oil demand peaks: thinking about the geopolitical impacts of peak oil.
What happens to oil producing countries when oil demand peaks? When petro-economies no longer are able to finance themselves through the extraction and export of oil products, what do they…
Changing drivers of change – social attitudes
We’ve seen how demographics, various macro-economic forces, climate breakdown and technology will cause change. The last of SAMI’s six drivers of change is changing social attitudes, a critical underpinning force. …
Changing drivers of change – climate emergency and renewable energy sources
In this second post reviewing changes to the fundamental drivers of change, including the effects of the pandemic, we look at the climate emergency and renewable energy. Recent events attributed…