Regular readers of this blog will remember our pride at the publication of the European Commission’s SAFIRE project. SAMI’s participation included the development of 44 discrete scenarios – four global…
Category: Foresight
Flying taxis crash into reality
In “The Fifth Element”, Korben Dallas is visited by a flying street food stall at his apartment window. Only one of any number of flying cars – including the one…
Limits to modelling
September 2023 was the hottest September on record, following the hottest August and the hottest July. It wasn’t just a bit hotter – it was fully 0.5˚˚ C hotter, a…
Megatrends and supply chains
We have seen how the Russian invasion of Ukraine caused a spike in oil prices and a rapid re-alignment of European energy supply chains. In what other ways will geo-political…
Twisting the Diplomatic Kaleidoscope: India, China and polynodal policy
In February we used the analogy of a kaleidoscope to describe the polynodal world, which replaced the “New World Order” of 1991, with a world of rising (and declining) powers,…
Future of Offices – real change or just noise in the wind?
The growth of hybrid working following the pandemic led to many suggestions of a fundamental and permanent shift in the demand for offices and their design. Given the long lead…