The World Economic Forum published its annual Global Risks Report in January. This is based on its survey of the perceptions of around 1,500 experts across academia, business, government, the…
Author: Huw Williams
When the fire alarm rings - lessons from the Covid Inquiry on moving from contingency plans to action
We previously looked at the lessons from Module 1 of the Covid Inquiry about preparations for future risks. In Module 2 the Inquiry covered how the Government reacted when the…
“Risk tipping points”
The UN University Institute for Environment and Human Security has come up with a new characterisation of future uncertainties – “risk tipping points” (RTP). An RTP is defined as “the moment…
World Energy Outlook scenarios
The International Energy Agency recently published is World Energy Outlook 2023 which assesses the evolving nature of energy security and examines what needs to happen at the COP28 climate conference…
Adaptive Planning in National Infrastructure
SAMI have long advocated the development of Adaptive Plans as a means of developing “robust decisions in uncertain times”. The concept is explained in a blogpost from January 2023 –…
Limits to modelling
September 2023 was the hottest September on record, following the hottest August and the hottest July. It wasn’t just a bit hotter – it was fully 0.5˚˚ C hotter, a…