Humanity has always been intrigued by events which would destroy it. The Gilgamesh epic leads to the Babylonian flood myth leads to the Biblical story of the Flood which (almost)…
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Thinking the unthinkable
A recent EC Joint Research Council paper, “Thinking the unthinkable”, explored the question of whether technological accidents caused by natural hazards (Natech accidents) are real “Black Swans”. A “Black Swan”…
Global Trends 2040 – Five scenarios
This is the last post in our series on the US National Intelligence Center Global Trends report – “A more contested world”. NIC produced five scenarios for 2040, as a…
The Role of Ethics in Strategy
I have been invited to lead the Association of Strategic Planning’s Virtual conference (ASP2-21) with a keynote address on the role of ethics in strategy. The keynote starts by asking…
Global Trends 2040 – Emerging dynamics
This latest post in our series on the US National Intelligence Center Global Trends report – “A more contested world” covers the section they call “Emerging Dynamics”. Having looked at…
EU paper on AI - Critique
Last week, the European Commission proposed a European approach to AI. To gauge the utility of the stated approach, what better benchmarks to reference than the ‘proposed key actions’ outlined…